This mean sea level pressure anomaly chart looks strikingly similar to the one that was forecast by the composites for the spring quarter, but with a weaker signal - the high pressure anomaly centre is about +2.5mb and lies to the west of the British Isles. Issued : Jun 25 2020Issued To Premium Members : Jun 15 2020ForecastA mixed start to the month is expected with low pressure continuing to dominate the weather and somewhat cool for Northern and Northwestern areas. Some showers for Northern and Western areas for the start of the month, but high pressure eventually moving in across the British Isles for the middle of the month with mist and fog becoming an issue. The ECMWF and Met Office ensembles for the region are very similar to the NMME ones, but with fewer ensemble members going for a strong La Nina, with the vast majority keeping the ENSO state higher than -1.
The composites for June-August give a much weaker version of the signal from the ENSO composites, with a weak high pressure anomaly to the north-west of Britain. Phase 3 is associated with a higher frequency of westerly types. These are the latest NCEP GFS model weather charts at Metcheck. Using the MEI v2 ENSO values, the nearest analogues for the current situation are 1981, 1995, 2005 and 2007 - note that the UK had some very contrasting summers in those years! Metcheck aren't just a load of weather geeks who run computers and make pretty charts... Our in house meteorologists look at pressure trends and patterns developing across Europe and every 25th day of the month at midday we release an outlook for the following month.Every month on the 25th day at midday Metcheck release their forecast for the following month.These are currently experimental and should be taken as such. Thus, now it is the Bering/Chukchi Sea area that has high sea ice extent for recent years, while in the Norwegian and Russian Arctic it is currently low. June looks set to be drier than normal over much of the UK, with a mix of anticyclonic and northerly types both bringing predominantly dry weather. The Madden-Julian Oscillation is less of a strong influence on Britain's weather in the summer than in the winter, but there are some weak associations between the phases and the frequency of particular weather patterns over the British Isles. Use this page to try and identify long range trends. Metchecks own GHX model charts out to 240 hours ahead, Toys Similar To This :-Arpege ►FMI HIRLAM ►Arome ►. Stay upto date with the long range forecast throughout the year with the Month Ahead Forecast - Updated Every Monday. However, we try to break the month down into the most notable weather types expected.After the month has finished we release the results to show whether the forecast was accurate or not.PLEASE NOTE : These forecasts are experimental and are subject to very wild and random changes. Issued : Oct 25 2020Issued To Premium Members : Oct 12 2020ForecastHigh pressure a little more dominant across the British Isles this month. Met Office meteorologists consider output from a range of weather models when writing these forecasts. It's either too far North or too far South. Continue below for the in depth forecast and explanation of the factors which are expected to influence the weather during the 2020 Summer. Forecasting the weather more than a few days ahead in Great Britain is very difficult. Issued: Sep 25 2020 Issued To Premium Members: Sep 17 2020 Forecast An interesting October is expected this year with an unsettled start due to remnants of ex-tropical weather systems affecting the weather bringing gales and rain across many areas of the UK with the chance of cold air incursions for Scottish mountains. Rainfall totals for the summer look set to be below normal, especially for the south of Britain, but with lower confidence in the rainfall anomalies for northern Britain, due to uncertainties over rainfall in July and August, especially July. Toys Similar To This :-Storm Satellite ►Airmass ►Snow Satellite ►, Live weather data from around the country displayed on Google Maps, Toys Similar To This :-Lightning Strikes ►Live Weather League ►Live Aeroplane Data ►. With an enhanced north-south split expected during July, July may turn out warmer than normal in the south-east of Britain, contributing to the overall summer anomaly pattern with the highest positive anomalies in the south-east. Issued : May 25 2020Issued To Premium Members : May 15 2020ForecastA rather mixed month is expected across the British Isles for June.

For temperature, the signal for July and August is weak, but a warmer than average June is suggested by most of the sets of ensembles. Every 15 minutes we take a snapshot of the cloud cover then measure the temperature and height of the clouds and show you whether the area of clouds are developing into thunderstorms and what direction they are moving in. Find the most current and reliable 14 day weather forecasts, storm alerts, reports and information for Sunshine Coast, BC, CA with The Weather Network. Phases 8 and 1 are typically associated with a higher than average frequency of high pressure, while unsettled/cyclonic weather is more often associated with phases 2 and 3. This switches from the Heat Index in Summer to Wind Chill in the WinterRain : This is the forecast amount of rainfall or snowfall in the 3hr period (Rain shown in green, Snow in blue)Cloud : This is the average cloud cover across the region in the 3hr periodDir : This is the average wind direction at 2 metres above the ground in the 3hr periodSpeed : This is the average wind speed to the maximum gust wind speed at 2 metres above the ground in the 3hr periodWeather : This is a combination of all elements displayed as a weather iconAdvanced Forecasts (As Above Plus)Pressure : This is the average atmospheric pressure for sea level across the region in the 3hr period, 1 NEW frontpage article- Rain Followed By More Showers.

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